UPDATE: Michael Jackson NOT GUILTY on all counts. Fox News analysts, watching all the signals, got it dead wrong.
UPDATE: Verdict now approximately 4.45pm as Jackson is still en-route to the court house. Fox News has live aerial coverage of Jackson's caravan. Amazing.
Just hearing that the Michael Jackson verdict will be announced at 4.30pm Eastern time. The Tradesports market at the moment breaks down this way:
1. guilty of at least 1 of 7 counts of lewd acts on a minor: 54-56%
2. guilty of at least 1 of 2 counts serving intoxicants to a minor: 77-78%
Reasonable volumes. From the daily change stats it seems market is trending towards not guilty on lewd acts and guilty on intoxicants.