President George W. Bush has closed a four-point gap with Democratic challenger John Kerry and the two candidates are locked in a 46 - 46 percent tie among New Jersey likely voters, with 2 percent for independent candidate Ralph Nader, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Six percent remain undecided.
Hope Rove has an emergency GOTV operation planned. NJ's 15 electoral votes have generally been considered in the bank for Kerry though his lead has steadily eroded. According to the RealClearPolitics count (234 safe or leaning) if NJ swings to Bush he will only have to win Florida in the battleground states to get to the magic 270.